On Wednesday President Trump publicly released a December 17 letter he wrote to Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, in which he aggressively fulminated against his impending impeachment.
Democrats and the media immediately dismissed Trump’s letter as childish, disgusting, and crazy.
Republicans in turn attacked the partisanship of the impeachment process itself.
Both parties buried the lede. The Trump Letter revelation is that it conclusively proved his divisive rhetoric is deliberately calculated.
Impeachment is a political process, not a legal one. Ergo, to avoid being ousted from office, Trump needs to prevent 15 Republican senators from voting against him.
Those 15 senators want to be re-elected, so they’ll vote with their constituencies’ sentiments.
Translation: Trump needs rock-solid support from red states to preclude impeachment.
While this red state bar is not difficult for Trump to meet, Trump’s letter shows that he isn’t taking any chances.
The Democratic base has been larger than the Republican base for a century. The Republican key to winning (and preserving) presidential elections is thus voter turnout.
Put another way, a highly-engaged Republican minority has greater voting power than a disinterested Democrat majority (see 2016 Election).
Western Roundtable has always suspected that Trump understands that base zeal is his key to power. But his impeachment letter proves that he does.
Trump’s letter reads like a transcript of his campaign rallies: building the wall, invalidating the 2016 will of the people, record stock market, strong military, reformed Supreme Court, booming economy, Space Force, Russia Hoax.
It’s laced with invective and accusation. It expertly strums every heartland grievance. And it’s just poorly written enough to give it that real-people leadership flair that galvanises his base.
Trump’s letter’s intended audience clearly isn’t Pelosi. It’s his base.
Trump needs his base frothing-mad and inspired to guarantee he remains in office. His letter was artfully crafted to ensure just that.
Post-2016 Democrat policy has been impeachment in search of evidence. Democrats justified their antidemocratic manoeuvres by credibly arguing Trump’s thin skin could counterpunch America into nuclear war (or some other travesty).
Trump’s impeachment letter destroys that justification. It proves that his political moves are rationally calculated, his divisive shtick a brilliant act rather than uncontrolled emotion.
And that’s a comforting thought.
1. To survive impeachment Trump needs his political base highly engaged.
2. Trump’s letter was deliberately designed to whip-up base anger. It was purposefully divisive.
3. Therefore, Trump’s divisiveness is rational act, not unhinged derangement.
4. His cold-blooded rationality removes the primary Democrat justification for impeachment: his instability.